global transportation demand

Global Transportation DemandClick chart to enlarge

To summarize the global transportation outlook through 2030, the charts here provide a breakdown for the major sectors, with total energy demand for the OECD OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) Member Countries (30) Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States countries on the left and non-OECD on the right. The profiles illustrate significantly different trends in demand.

The OECD total is moving towards a plateau, with an overall growth rate of 0.6 percent per year on average during 2005-2030. This view is underpinned by an expected decline in light duty fuel demand in the outer years. At the same time, fuel consumption by the commercial transportation segments will continue to increase 1 to 2 percent per year on average.

In contrast, demand in the non-OECD countries is likely to climb steadily at about 3 percent per year, or five times faster than the OECD overall. All sectors will increase significantly, reflecting strong economic growth and rising incomes.